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논문 리스트

2017
연안암반대수층의 해수침투경향성 파악을 위한 전기전도도 시계열 분석과 예측 Time Series Analysis and Forecasting of Electrical Conductivity in Coastal Aquifers
대한자원환경지질학회
여인욱
논문정보
Publisher
자원환경지질
Issue Date
2017-08-31
Keywords
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Citation
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Source
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Journal Title
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Volume
50
Number
4
Start Page
267
End Page
276
DOI
ISSN
12257281
Abstract
Seawater intrusion into coastal fractured rock aquifer, resulting in groundwater contamination, is of serious concern in coastal areas of Jeolla Namdo, Korea, which heavily depends on groundwater resources. Time series analysis and forecasting were carried out to analyze and predict EC which is a major indicator of seawater intrusion. Two time series models of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) were tested for suggesting appropriate time series model. Time series data of EC measured over one year showed a increasing trend with short periodic fluctuations, due to tidal effect and pumping, which indicated that EC time series data tended to be non-stationary. SARIMA model was found better fitted to observed EC than any other time series model. Time series analysis and modeling was found to be a useful tool to analyze EC at coastal fractured rock aquifer subject to seawater intrusion.

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이름 소속
여인욱 지질환경과학과