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논문 리스트

2013
Global Warming Likely Reduces Crop Yield and Water Availability of the Dryland Cropping Systems in the U.S. Central Great Plains Global Warming Likely Reduces Crop Yield and Water Availability of the Dryland Cropping Systems in the U.S. Central Great Plains
한국작물학회
고종한
논문정보
Publisher
Journal of Crop Science and Biotechnology
Issue Date
2013-12-30
Keywords
-
Citation
-
Source
-
Journal Title
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Volume
16
Number
4
Start Page
233
End Page
242
DOI
ISSN
19759479
Abstract
We investigated the impact of GCM-projected climate change on dryland crop rotations of wheat-fallow and wheat-cornfallowin the Central Great Plains (Akron in Colorado, USA) using the CERES 4.0 crop modules in RZWQM2. The climatechange scenarios for CO2, temperature, and precipitation were produced by 22 GCM projections for Colorado based on theA1B scenario. The climate change for years 2050 and 2075 was super-imposed on measured 30-year-baseline climate data(1989-2008). For all the cropping rotations and projection years, simulated yields of wheat and corn decreased significantly (P< 0.05) with increasing temperatures. The yield declines due to the elevated temperatures should be attributable to the shorteningof crop maturity duration and concurrent decreases in soil water and evapotranspiration. The model was also projected todecrease crop yields for the combined climate change scenarios of CO2, temperature, and precipitation in the dryland croppingrotations

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