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논문 리스트

2024
Can agricultural production stability reduce price volatility?
농업과학연구소
문한필
논문정보
Publisher
Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
Issue Date
2024-12-31
Keywords
-
Citation
-
Source
-
Journal Title
-
Volume
51
Number
4
Start Page
887
End Page
897
DOI
http://doi.org/10.7744/kjoas.510436
ISSN
24662402
Abstract
This study analyzes the effect of Korea’s domestic agricultural production and import on agricultural product price volatility from 1990 to 2022 using annual data. By applying the autoregressive distributed lag model that estimates both long- and short-term effects, we found that domestic agricultural production and import have a negative (-) relationship with agricultural price volatility in both the long and short-term. This implies that when there is a shock to the supply of domestic and overseas agricultural products, the volatility of agricul- tural products increases. In particular, the magnitude of the effect on the volatility of agricul- tural prices was found to be very large in the production of domestic agricultural products compared to imports. This result suggests that stabilizing the production of domestic agricul- tural products is important in stably managing agricultural prices, and shows where the effective policy direction is in terms of price stability.

저자 정보

이름 소속
문한필 농업경제학과