Loading...
2020
코로나19가 한육우 시장 및 한육우 농가인력수요에 미치는 영향분석
An Analysis of the Impact of Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) on the Korean Beef Cattle Market and Farm Labor Demand for Korean Beef Cattle
한국유기농업학회
김인석
논문정보
- Publisher
- 한국유기농업학회지
- Issue Date
- 2020-05-31
- Keywords
- -
- Citation
- -
- Source
- -
- Journal Title
- -
- Volume
- 28
- Number
- 2
- Start Page
- 171
- End Page
- 188
- DOI
- ISSN
- 12293571
Abstract
The Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), first identified in China in December 2019, has widely spread worldwide and is an ongoing pandemic. It is expected that the ripple effect of COVID-19 on the global economy including the agricultural sector will increase substantially if not properly controlled shortly. This study examines the potential impact of COVID-19 on the Korean beef cattle sector and farm labor demand for Korean beef cattle using a dynamic partial equilibrium model. The agricultural production value and farm labor demand for Korean beef cattle in the scenario assuming pessimistic GDP growth rate (-1.2% in 2020) with no direct supply shocks fell by up to 4.00% and 0.67%, respectively, compared to the baseline which represents the future without COVID-19 outbreak. On the other hand, the agricultural production value and farm labor demand for Korean beef cattle in the scenario assuming both pessimistic GDP growth rate and supply shocks (-12.7% beef imports and + 2.4% feed cost in 2020) increased by up to 12.08% and 1.99%, respectively, compared to the baseline.
- 전남대학교
- KCI
- 한국유기농업학회지
저자 정보
| 이름 | 소속 |
|---|---|
| 김인석 | 농업경제학과 |