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논문 리스트

2017
풍력 불확실성의 경제적 비용 - 제주사례를 중심으로 The Economic Cost of Wind Uncertainty - The Case of Jeju Island
한국신·재생에너지학회
전우영
논문정보
Publisher
신재생에너지
Issue Date
2017-06-01
Keywords
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Citation
-
Source
-
Journal Title
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Volume
13
Number
2
Start Page
21
End Page
29
DOI
ISSN
17383935
Abstract
This study analyzed the cost of wind uncertainty by estimating the impact of various degrees of wind uncertainty on theoperating cost of a power system. For the analysis methodology, this study used a simulation applying a stochastic form ofsecurity-constrained optimal power flow (SCOPF) based on the Jeju power system. To generate realistic wind generation input, a windforecasting model based on an econometric time-series method was proposed in four major wind farms in Jeju Island. The resultshowed that the case with the deterministic wind reduces the operating cost most effectively. On the other hand, when the system facesstochastic wind forecasted 1 hour ahead, the amount of reserve required increases significantly. In addition, when the degree of winduncertainty increases as the system operator conducts the day-ahead planning with the stochastic wind forecasted 4 hours ahead and 7hours ahead, the amount of reserve required increases further and the amount of wind generation that the power system could adoptdecreases, which leads to an increase in the overall operating cos

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전우영 경제학과