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논문 리스트

2020
Estimation of the Universal Constants in Complex Computer Code Using Multiple Gaussian Process Models Estimation of the Universal Constants in Complex Computer Code Using Multiple Gaussian Process Models
자연과학연구소
논문정보
Publisher
Quantitative Bio-Science
Issue Date
2020-11-30
Keywords
-
Citation
-
Source
-
Journal Title
-
Volume
39
Number
2
Start Page
137
End Page
145
DOI
ISSN
22881344
Abstract
The approximated nonlinear least squares (ALS) method has been used for adjusting unknown universal constants in the complex simulation code, which is very time-consuming to execute. The ALS tunes or calibrates the computer code by minimizing the squared difference between real observations and computer output using a surrogate such as a Gaussian process model. A potential drawback of the ALS is that it does not take the uncertainty in the approximation of the simulation by a surrogate model into account. The calibration result is too dependent on selection of a surrogate model. To address these problems, we consider a simple ensemble method that averages the respective estimates from four different models. A total of three test functions in different conditions are examined for a comparative analysis. Based on the test function study, we find that the ensemble method by four models provides better results than the ALS method. We also review some calibration methods including a generalized ALS, an iterative version of ALS, and likelihood-based method. We provide a brief discussion for comparison and future direction.

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