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논문 리스트

2009
실질환율의 구조변화: 동아시아 외환위기 Structural Break in the Real Exchange Rates: The Asian Crisis
대외경제정책연구원
논문정보
Publisher
대외경제연구
Issue Date
2009-06-30
Keywords
-
Citation
-
Source
-
Journal Title
-
Volume
13
Number
1
Start Page
91
End Page
112
DOI
ISSN
15982769
Abstract
This study estimates the break point in the residual variance and in the propagation mechanism of the real exchange rates at about the time of the Asian crisis that occurred in 1997, and provides some explanations for the breaks. The breaks in the residual variance increased the volatility of the real exchange rates, which given the overall effects of common adverse shocks to the countries seems to be reinforced by the sudden withdrawal of Japanese commercial banks’ lending to the region. And the subsequent breaks in the propagation mechanism reduced the volatility, which reflects the change in the government policy stance to result in smoothing the pace of appreciation. In addition, the breaks in the nominal exchange rates rather than in the price ratios are mainly responsible for the breaks in the real exchange rates.

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