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논문 리스트

2015
온도변동성을 고려한 전력수요예측 기반의 확률론적 수요관리량 추정 방법 A Stochastic Pplanning Method for Semand-side Management Program based on Load Forecasting with the Volatility of Temperature
대한전기학회
위영민
논문정보
Publisher
전기학회논문지
Issue Date
2015-06-01
Keywords
-
Citation
-
Source
-
Journal Title
-
Volume
64
Number
6
Start Page
852
End Page
856
DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.5370/KIEE.2015.64.6.852
ISSN
1975-8359
Abstract
Demand side management (DSM) program has been frequently used for reducing the system peak load because it gives utilities and independent system operator (ISO) a convenient way to control and change amount of electric usage of end-use customer. Planning and operating methods are needed to efficiently manage a DSM program. This paper presents a planning method for DSM program. A planning method for DSM program should include an electric load forecasting, because this is the most important factor in determining how much to reduce electric load. In this paper, load forecasting with the temperature stochastic modeling and the sensitivity to temperature of the electric load is used for improving load forecasting accuracy. The proposed planning method can also estimate the required day, hour and total capacity of DSM program using Monte-Carlo simulation. The results of case studies are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed planning method.

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